Monday, April 5

Incription problems..

A week or more back I set up my "inscription factory" consisting of a Inscriber and a banker that carry the stock inventory. The Inscriber hasn't yet all the recipes yet but she's working on the northend inscription research every day and I try to buy any Book of Glyph Mastery that I can find on the Auction House.

So far I've stocked up with 20x of each glyph that I have that would yield 5g profit. The problem is that I don't sell near as much as other bloggers do, that I read about. I've calculated my glyph thresholds in QA using the below formula:
threshold = (ppi + ppp + ahd + mp)*ahc
ppi = price per Ink of the Sea
ppp = price per parchment (Light=15c, Common=1s25c, Heavy=12s50c, Resilient=50s)
ahd = auction house deposit (12hrs=75% of Merchant Sell Value, 24hrs=2*12hrs, 48hrs=4*12hrs)
ahc = auction house cut (5%) (put 1,05 in the formula above)
mp = mail postage (sending herbs to my Inscriber and sending back the glyphs)

The ppi is calculated from milling tests where I've logged milling of item level 72 herbs as well as item level 80 herbs. To simplify a bit I've averaged the valued from these different types of herbs.
ppi = (pph*5) - (simv * asipm)) / aiotspm
pph = Price per herb
simv = Snowfall Ink market value (I've made an guestimate of what I could sell these inks for on my server)
asipm = Average Snowfall Ink per mill (measured to 0,26 by myself)
aiotspm = Average Ink of the Sea per mill (measured to 1,48 by myself)

These calculations give me the following break even price thresholds: (I'd love some comments about these calculations, especially if you can spot any faults in my assumptions). The below numbers are not my actual thresholds as I'd like to make a few gold out of my business. My thresholds have been between about 2g40s and 5g30s.

Resilient 1 ink1g 33s 52c
Resilient 2 inks2g 12s 02c
Heavy 1 ink93s 83c
Heavy 2 inks1g 72s 64c
Common 1 ink82s 02c
Common 2 inks1g 60s 83c
Light 1 ink80s 86c
Light 2 inks1g 59s 68c

I logged from the beginning to see how things went and here are the results:

...PostedPost BO value
10-03-27 16:01334...
10-03-28 11:21341...
10-03-28 14:16306...
10-03-28 18:172472045g 21s 38c
10-03-28 21:542662024g 46s 03c
10-03-30 22:092701835g 73s 90c
10-03-31 21:512652783g 80s 09c
10-04-01 22:422471531g 75s 93c
10-04-02 21:572591841g 44s 68c
10-04-03 01:033672364g 73s 18c

Based on these posts I've also checked what my market share was after I've posted. It varies between about 4.5% and about 6.2%.

The sales been awful so far and I present here my sales:

Sold
10-03-27 23:40182g 37s 94c
10-03-28 01:2237g 51s 72c
10-03-28 18:1761g 53s 09c
10-03-28 20:4749g 34s 68c
10-03-30 22:09281g 05s 71c
10-03-31 21:51200g 14s 78c
10-04-01 22:4269g 62s 10c
10-04-02 21:57192g 66s 11c

I've found that not all of my competitors (far from it actually) differentiate between 1 ink glyphs and 2 ink glyphs. This makes almost all 2 ink glyphs impossible to compete with as they're priced as 1 ink glyphs.

With the above described scenario, what should I do to have my inscription factory lift off? Ideas, comments please...

4 comments:

  1. First off, rhere are no more 2 ink glyphs, they were all changed to 1 ink in the last patch.
    Second, don't buy herbs to mill for "lesser inks". They're too expensive! Only mill nothrend herbs and trade them with Jessica Sellers for Ink of the Seas (if you aren't already doing so). You'll also get more snowfalls that way too.

    I didn't look at the calculations, but adjust for these tops and you should see more profit.

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  2. @Gwyd: Ah, indeed you're right about the inks. I made a quick double check on http://www.wowhead.com/spells=11.773&filter=na=Glyph+of#0+7+1 and found no glyphs requiring 2 inks. I read about this in the patch notes but somehow got the impression that most, not all, of the glyphs would undergo this change. I've been using Altoholic to check my recipes' requirements when on my banker sorting the QA groups. Apparently there's some kind of bug in it as it still shows 2 inks for some glyphs. Thanks for the heads up.

    Secondly, I only buy the Northrend herbs, item level 72 and higher. These all produce Azure and Icy pigments albeit a little difference in percentages - hence the average in my calculations.

    ReplyDelete
  3. @Gwyd, indeed. I posted an update here http://goblineering.blogspot.com/2010/04/suffice-with-one-glyph-banker.html

    ReplyDelete